Contract renewal strategies

How SME / MBU sites should handle electricity and gas renewals this winter — timing, product choice and what to send us

The short version. Start 90 days before the end date. Do not let a fixed term lapse onto deemed, out-of-contract or auto-renew rates. This winter a 12-month fix or a tracker is the usual choice; a two- or three-year lock at today’s winter-weighted curve is hard to unwind. Save ’N Go is a leading broker for renewals with all leading providers — if you need the contract handled, we will facilitate it.

90 days
Start the renewal before the end date
On the bill
Contract end date must appear on Irish bills
Do nothing
Deemed, out-of-contract or auto-renew rates
12 months
Default term this winter unless cash needs a lock
~30%
Night share that usually makes Profile 6 win
0 break
Do not exit a fix that runs past March 2027

Drawn from the CRU supplier handbook and interim retail-market review (May 2026), supplier terms in common use for commercial premises, and the Save ’N Go electricity and gas outlooks dated 24 September 2026. Indicative planning material, not a live quote.


1. What happens if nobody acts

Irish commercial supply does not stay on the old unit rate when a fixed term ends. One of three things happens, and all three are usually worse than a negotiated renewal.

If you do nothingWhat it isWhat to do
Out-of-contract / standard variableThe incumbent moves you onto its default variable book. Rates can change with little notice.Switch or re-contract as soon as you notice. You can usually leave a variable book without an exit fee.
Deemed contractStatutory fallback when there is no agreed contract — vacant site, change of occupier, or a lapsed account.Treat as emergency. Deemed rates sit at the top of the market. Put a named contract on the MPRN / GPRN immediately.
Auto-renewal / rolloverSome commercial terms roll the site into a new 12-month commitment at a price the supplier sets.Read the last renewal letter. A rollover can carry an exit fee. Still compare the market; breakage is sometimes cheaper than the rolled rate.

Since June 2023 every Irish supplier must print the contract end date on the bill. If the date is missing, the site is already a renewal risk. Domestic-style 30-day expiry notices are not a reliable commercial control — some business terms only need 14 days’ written notice to terminate after the first end date, and some lock a further 12 months unless you write first.


2. The 90-day playbook

WhenAction
T−90 daysPull the last three bills. Confirm end date, notice period, exit fee, DG5/DG6 or SBU/MBU, MIC / SPC, and 12-month kWh. Send the pack to Save ’N Go.
T−75 daysDecide the product: 12-month fix, tracker, or a split (see section 3). Do not start from the incumbent’s renewal letter.
T−60 daysGo to market. A matched tender on actual consumption beats a “from” rate card. Dual-fuel only if both meters truly end together.
T−30 daysSign. Registration has to complete before the old term dies. A late signature is how sites fall onto deemed or variable books.
T−7 daysClosing meter read. Keep the paper trail. New rates apply from the registration date, not the day you first asked for a quote.
Already lapsedDo not wait for the next anniversary. Variable and deemed books can be replaced as soon as a new contract registers.

Incumbent letter is a starting price, not the market. The CRU’s 2026 interim review is plain: competition works for sites that retender. Business switching still lags the domestic market. A renewal letter is one bid. Treat it as that.


3. Which product to buy this winter

The electricity and gas outlooks dated 24 September 2026 have the same shape: a further lift into January, then an easing after March if fuel markets cool. That shape, not a slogan about “fixing forever”, should pick the product.

ProductUse it whenAvoid it when
12-month fixThe board wants a number for FY27. Cash is tight through winter. You do not want to watch TTF every week.You are sure prices fall hard next summer and you can live with a January spike.
Tracker / pass-throughYou can stand a 3–4 c electricity or 1 c gas winter lift in return for the summer ease. You will review again by March.Payroll or a tender bid cannot absorb a January print in the high 20s energy-only (power) or low teens (gas).
Winter lock then reviewYou only need cover through March 2027. Useful if a site move, fit-out or sale sits in H1 2027.The supplier’s winter-only price is just the expensive months with no summer to average them.
50 / 50 or trancheLarger MBU. Fix half the volume, track half. Or fix Q4–Q1 and leave summer open.A small SBU. Two products on one café meter add admin without changing the bill.
24- or 36-month fixA multi-site group that values identical rates across FY27–FY29 more than the option value of 2027.Today’s curve is winter-weighted. A three-year lock at 19–20 c energy (power) or 7.5–10 c (gas) is hard to unwind if the central case plays out.
Dual fuel as one dealElectricity and gas end within four weeks of each other and one credit team wants one invoice.One meter has 18 months left. Do not break the live one to “tidy” the paper.

How that maps to this winter’s central case

If the contract ends…Electricity (P5 / P6 energy-only)Gas (SBU / MBU commodity)
Oct 2026 – Jan 2027Budget 19–24 c tracker or lock ~19.6 / 20.4 / 16.4 c (P5 / P6 day / P6 night). Prefer 12 months.Budget SBU 10–12 c, MBU 7.5–10.5 c. 12-month fix ~10.2 / 7.6 c.
Feb – Mar 2027Still winter-weighted. A short fix into next summer, or a tracker if cash can take the tail of the spike.Same. Do not sign three years because you are tired of the process.
Apr – Sep 2027Central case has already eased. This is the better window for a 12- or 24-month fix if you want certainty.Central case ~5–6 c wholesale. Better window to lock if the board wants a number.
Already fixed past Mar 2027Leave it. Breakage plus today’s curve rarely beats sitting tight.Leave it. Check SPC while you wait; right-sizing is free optionality.

4. Hygiene before the tender goes out

Half of a bad renewal is a bad brief. The market prices the meter it is shown, not the meter you meant.

  • End date and notice, in writing. The bill date is the start. Confirm the notice clause — 14 days after the first end date is common, but some books roll 12 months unless you write first.
  • Twelve months of kWh, not last month. A January-only pack overstates a Profile 5 site and understates a Profile 6 night load.
  • Profile 5 vs 6, and actual % night. Profile 6 usually wins from about 30% night use. Below ~25% the higher day rate cancels it. Do not switch profile in the last fortnight of a contract unless the new meter will be live.
  • DG5 vs DG6, and MIC. An oversized MIC is a standing tax on every DG6 bill. Right-size with the network before you retender if the site has shed load.
  • SBU vs MBU, and SPC. An inflated Supply Point Capacity on gas is the quiet overpay. Capacity is reserved whether the kitchen uses it or not.
  • Change of tenancy or new fit-out. A vacant or newly occupied site is already on deemed rates until a named account sits on the MPRN / GPRN.
  • Credit and director details ready. Commercial registration fails more often on incomplete KYC than on price.

5. Multi-site and larger MBU tactics

A group with staggered end dates should not force every meter onto one anniversary if that means breaking good contracts. Align the next natural end dates instead. Larger volume can support a 50/50 or quarterly tranche: fix the winter half, leave summer on a tracker, review in March. A corporate PPA is a hedge sitting beside the retail contract, not a replacement for it — only worth the paperwork if annual volume and reporting need it.

Blend-and-extend (re-cut a live fix when the market drops, averaging old and new) is a tool for mid-contract, not a renewal strategy. Ask for it only if a site is stuck in a high fix with more than six months left and the incumbent will actually move. Most will not, this winter.


6. Practical order of work

  1. Send Save ’N Go the last three bills — electricity and gas.
  2. We confirm class, end date, notice and whether you are already on a deemed or variable book.
  3. We agree the product (12-month fix, tracker, or split) against the outlook, not against the incumbent letter.
  4. We tender across leading providers and handle registration.
  5. You keep the closing read. We diary the next T−90 date.

Contract support

Need this handled? Save ’N Go is a leading broker for contract renewals with all leading providers. If you have a query on the outlook figures, want a matched quote, or need support at renewal, contact us and we will facilitate it. info@savengo.ie · (01) 919 8840 · savengo.ie


Sources and disclaimer

CRU Electricity and Gas Suppliers’ Handbook; CRU Interim Review of the Electricity and Gas Retail Markets, May 2026 (CRU202667). Energy (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act deemed-contract provisions. Published commercial terms in common use (notice, auto-extension, variable fallback). Save ’N Go electricity and gas outlooks, 24 September 2026. No supplier is named in this briefing.

Save ’N Go · Nationwide service, Ireland & NI · info@savengo.ie · (01) 919 8840 · savengo.ie. Indicative market view as at 24 September 2026. Not a tender, a guarantee of future prices, or regulated financial advice. Commercial energy is individually quoted against MPRN / GPRN, MIC / SPC, profile and 12-month consumption.

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